Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Larsson 50.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 88.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 92.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Staal
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Larsson
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
Staal
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
Staal
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,026)
53.8% (773)
-3.2%
Power Play
55.0% (211)
0.0% (2)
+55.0%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
39.9% (218)
-4.9%
On power play, Staal has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Staal shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Staal
Larsson
Home
52.4% (647)
51.2% (490)
Away
49.7% (610)
50.1% (503)
By Period
Staal
Larsson
P1
49.4%
50.6%
P2
53.9%
53.1%
P3
49.1%
48.3%
OT
81.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |