Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.7%). Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Madden 50.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 73.3%
Defensive zone
Madden 69.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.9%
Result
John Madden favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Staal
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Staal
Madden
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Madden
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
2
4
Staal
Madden
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
6
1
Staal
Madden
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
51.2% (1,083)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
51.5% (33)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
47.6% (164)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Madden has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Staal
Madden
Home
52.6% (6,558)
52.7% (678)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
48.5% (623)
By Period
Staal
Madden
P1
50.0%
51.5%
P2
51.1%
52.5%
P3
50.4%
47.6%
OT
55.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 14:27 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2010 | OT | 01:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Eric Staal |