Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.3%). Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Chipchura 50.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 69.7%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 65.4%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 50.7%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Staal
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Staal
Chipchura
Last 8: Staal 3-5 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
2
Staal
Chipchura
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
2
3
Staal
Chipchura
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
50.9% (2,100)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
45.7% (46)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
45.0% (171)
-0.8%
On power play, Staal has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Home / Away
Staal
Chipchura
Home
52.6% (6,558)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Staal
Chipchura
P1
50.0%
51.1%
P2
51.1%
50.3%
P3
50.4%
48.9%
OT
55.2%
78.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |