Scouting Report
Kyle Wellwood holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.3% vs Wellwood 52.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wellwood 61.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Staal
Wellwood
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Staal
Wellwood
Last 8: Staal 4-4 Wellwood
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wellwood
1
2
Staal
Wellwood
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Wellwood
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wellwood
0
1
Staal
Wellwood
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Wellwood
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,228)
52.2% (184)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.1% (281)
58.7% (63)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (136)
50.0% (2)
-4.4%
On power play, Wellwood has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wellwood shoots right. Staal is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Staal shoots left. Wellwood is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Staal
Wellwood
Home
53.9% (825)
57.4% (141)
Away
51.1% (856)
49.5% (109)
By Period
Staal
Wellwood
P1
54.8%
44.3%
P2
54.1%
63.6%
P3
48.6%
53.2%
OT
60.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Wellwood
54.0%▼
58.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Kyle Wellwood |