Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.2% vs Perreault 50.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Staal
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Perreault
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
2
Staal
Perreault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
2
Staal
Perreault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (958)
47.6% (147)
+1.3%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
63.4% (41)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (71)
100.0% (1)
-52.1%
On penalty kill, Perreault has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Staal shoots left. Perreault is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Staal
Perreault
Home
49.6% (550)
57.0% (121)
Away
48.7% (624)
41.2% (68)
By Period
Staal
Perreault
P1
48.9%
56.9%
P2
47.5%
42.1%
P3
51.6%
53.4%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
61.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |