Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 48.1% vs Hendricks 51.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 72.9%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 60.7%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 65.2%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Staal
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Hendricks
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
1
Staal
Hendricks
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hendricks
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Hendricks
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,219)
53.4% (73)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.8% (356)
33.3% (6)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (141)
64.7% (17)
-17.2%
On power play, Staal has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Staal is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,087).
Staal shoots left. Hendricks is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Staal
Hendricks
Home
49.8% (880)
39.5% (43)
Away
46.2% (871)
63.6% (55)
By Period
Staal
Hendricks
P1
46.4%
42.3%
P2
46.1%
52.8%
P3
50.7%
60.0%
OT
53.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |