Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.3% vs Hendricks 52.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 57.2%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 74.4%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 53.9%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Staal
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Staal
Hendricks
Last 9: Staal 6-3 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Hendricks
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Hendricks
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,228)
54.9% (233)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.1% (281)
80.0% (5)
-25.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (136)
38.5% (26)
+7.1%
On power play, Hendricks has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Staal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,068).
Staal shoots left. Hendricks is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Staal
Hendricks
Home
53.9% (825)
52.8% (142)
Away
51.1% (856)
54.5% (123)
By Period
Staal
Hendricks
P1
54.8%
64.9%
P2
54.1%
48.6%
P3
48.6%
49.4%
Final 5 min
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |