Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.8% vs Hendricks 54.9% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Hendricks leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 72.5%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 65.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.0%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Staal
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Staal
Hendricks
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Hendricks
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Hendricks
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
3
Staal
Hendricks
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (804)
55.3% (197)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.5% (157)
50.0% (2)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (53)
61.7% (60)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Staal is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Staal shoots left. Hendricks is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Staal
Hendricks
Home
52.7% (490)
55.3% (123)
Away
51.3% (524)
58.1% (136)
By Period
Staal
Hendricks
P1
56.4%
58.7%
P2
52.4%
49.5%
P3
47.4%
63.2%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Eric Staal |