Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Santorelli 49.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 19-14 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 62.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Staal
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
14
(33 meetings)
19
14
Staal
Santorelli
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
11
5
Staal
Santorelli
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
3
5
Staal
Santorelli
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
4
Staal
Santorelli
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
48.4% (1,835)
+2.1%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
56.0% (298)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
48.5% (132)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Home / Away
Staal
Santorelli
Home
52.6% (6,558)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Staal
Santorelli
P1
50.0%
51.0%
P2
51.1%
49.7%
P3
50.4%
47.6%
OT
55.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |