Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 48.1% vs Santorelli 50.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 60.2%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 58.4%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 60.2%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Staal
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Staal
Santorelli
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
3
Staal
Santorelli
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
3
Staal
Santorelli
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Santorelli
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,219)
48.7% (754)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.8% (356)
57.9% (183)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (141)
49.4% (87)
-1.9%
On power play, Santorelli has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Staal is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Staal shoots left. Santorelli is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Home / Away
Staal
Santorelli
Home
49.8% (880)
50.0% (502)
Away
46.2% (871)
50.4% (530)
By Period
Staal
Santorelli
P1
46.4%
53.4%
P2
46.1%
50.4%
P3
50.7%
46.9%
OT
53.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |