Scouting Report
Mikhail Vorobyev holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Vorobyev 53.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vorobyev 57.3%
Defensive zone
Vorobyev 75.2%
Neutral zone
Vorobyev 69.4%
Result
Mikhail Vorobyev favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Staal
Vorobyev
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Vorobyev
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Vorobyev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Vorobyev
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Vorobyev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vorobyev
0
1
Staal
Vorobyev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Vorobyev
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
56.5% (131)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
44.4% (9)
+4.4%
On even strength, Vorobyev has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vorobyev shoots left. Staal is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Staal shoots left. Vorobyev is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Staal
Vorobyev
Home
52.0% (542)
56.0% (50)
Away
46.6% (457)
55.6% (90)
By Period
Staal
Vorobyev
P1
44.2%
51.0%
P2
50.3%
56.8%
P3
52.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Vorobyev
62.0%▲
50.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:14 | Neutral | Mikhail Vorobyev |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Mikhail Vorobyev |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Eric Staal |