Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Stephens 52.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 79.7%
Defensive zone
Stephens 60.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Staal
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Staal
Stephens
Last 8: Staal 2-6 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Stephens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
4
Staal
Stephens
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
2
Staal
Stephens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
54.4% (296)
-4.8%
Power Play
49.7% (179)
28.6% (7)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
46.2% (52)
+2.6%
On power play, Staal has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Staal shoots left. Stephens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Staal
Stephens
Home
52.0% (542)
54.8% (177)
Away
46.6% (457)
50.3% (179)
By Period
Staal
Stephens
P1
44.2%
55.4%
P2
50.3%
50.4%
P3
52.9%
52.6%
OT
68.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |