Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.3%). Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.1% vs Backstrom 48.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 53.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 50.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Staal
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Staal
Backstrom
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Backstrom
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
3
Staal
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
3
Staal
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (485)
48.7% (635)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
42.0% (50)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
50.0% (46)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Staal is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Staal shoots left. Backstrom is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Staal
Backstrom
Home
51.7% (265)
48.0% (348)
Away
46.5% (282)
48.6% (383)
By Period
Staal
Backstrom
P1
52.7%
49.6%
P2
48.3%
48.2%
P3
46.5%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Eric Staal |