Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Marleau 51.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 52.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Staal
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Staal
Marleau
Last 5: Staal 2-3 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Staal
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Staal
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (930)
53.8% (251)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.4% (125)
47.1% (34)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (60)
37.5% (16)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Staal shoots left. Marleau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Staal
Marleau
Home
53.5% (561)
60.4% (111)
Away
48.9% (554)
47.4% (190)
By Period
Staal
Marleau
P1
50.1%
54.7%
P2
50.3%
51.5%
P3
53.1%
49.2%
OT
53.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |