Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.7% vs Monahan 51.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 52.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 50.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Staal
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Staal
Monahan
Last 6: Staal 1-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Staal
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Staal
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (713)
52.1% (1,301)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.1% (105)
50.3% (342)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
38.5% (96)
+3.2%
On power play, Staal has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Staal is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Staal shoots left. Monahan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,110).
Home / Away
Staal
Monahan
Home
56.0% (414)
52.7% (875)
Away
50.0% (428)
49.3% (864)
By Period
Staal
Monahan
P1
49.0%
51.0%
P2
56.3%
51.8%
P3
53.9%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
53.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 3, 2016 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 3, 2016 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 3, 2016 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 3, 2016 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 3, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |