Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.1%). Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Monahan 51.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 62.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Staal
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Staal
Monahan
Last 8: Staal 6-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,026)
50.8% (723)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.0% (211)
53.3% (152)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
46.2% (13)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Staal shoots left. Monahan is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Staal
Monahan
Home
52.4% (647)
52.5% (421)
Away
49.7% (610)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Staal
Monahan
P1
49.4%
51.4%
P2
53.9%
52.3%
P3
49.1%
50.2%
OT
81.8%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Eric Staal |