Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.0%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.1% vs Monahan 49.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 52.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Staal
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Staal
Monahan
Last 9: Staal 3-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Staal
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (485)
46.4% (532)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
59.1% (132)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
50.0% (30)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Staal is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Staal shoots left. Monahan is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Staal
Monahan
Home
51.7% (265)
49.0% (355)
Away
46.5% (282)
49.0% (339)
By Period
Staal
Monahan
P1
52.7%
49.8%
P2
48.3%
46.6%
P3
46.5%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Eric Staal |