Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.8% vs Ott 54.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 84.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.2%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Staal
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Staal
Ott
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
5
Staal
Ott
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (804)
54.8% (305)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.5% (157)
56.8% (95)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (53)
57.0% (135)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Staal is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Staal shoots left. Ott is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Staal
Ott
Home
52.7% (490)
58.7% (271)
Away
51.3% (524)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Staal
Ott
P1
56.4%
60.4%
P2
52.4%
54.0%
P3
47.4%
52.6%
OT
42.9%
65.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Eric Staal |