Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Connolly 47.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 27-24 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 62.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Staal
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
24
(51 meetings)
27
24
Staal
Connolly
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Staal
Connolly
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
12
8
Staal
Connolly
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
6
7
Staal
Connolly
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
47.4% (1,307)
+3.1%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
50.2% (251)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
41.9% (186)
+2.3%
On power play, Staal has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Staal
Connolly
Home
52.6% (6,558)
48.5% (870)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Staal
Connolly
P1
50.0%
47.4%
P2
51.1%
47.7%
P3
50.4%
47.0%
OT
55.2%
37.8%
Final 5 min
50.6%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 08:01 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Eric Staal |