Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.6%). Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.3% vs Kopecky 51.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 54.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Staal
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Staal
Kopecky
Last 9: Staal 6-3 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopecky
1
2
Staal
Kopecky
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Kopecky
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,228)
49.7% (165)
+2.8%
Power Play
54.1% (281)
54.0% (50)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (136)
60.5% (43)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Kopecky has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Staal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,068).
Staal shoots left. Kopecky is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Staal
Kopecky
Home
53.9% (825)
55.8% (147)
Away
51.1% (856)
48.7% (119)
By Period
Staal
Kopecky
P1
54.8%
49.4%
P2
54.1%
47.4%
P3
48.6%
60.6%
OT
60.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 18, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Tomas Kopecky |