Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.3% vs Zajac 55.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 59.7%
Defensive zone
Zajac 73.2%
Neutral zone
Zajac 61.8%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Staal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Staal
Zajac
Last 9: Staal 6-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,228)
57.8% (161)
-5.3%
Power Play
54.1% (281)
55.0% (20)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (136)
52.9% (17)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Staal is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Staal shoots left. Zajac is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Staal
Zajac
Home
53.9% (825)
59.1% (127)
Away
51.1% (856)
55.8% (77)
By Period
Staal
Zajac
P1
54.8%
59.7%
P2
54.1%
56.7%
P3
48.6%
56.7%
OT
60.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |