Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.1% vs Zajac 51.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 57.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 79.4%
Neutral zone
Zajac 73.4%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Staal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Zajac
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (485)
53.5% (480)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
48.4% (62)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
37.7% (61)
-37.7%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Staal shoots left. Zajac is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Staal
Zajac
Home
51.7% (265)
51.7% (352)
Away
46.5% (282)
51.0% (251)
By Period
Staal
Zajac
P1
52.7%
45.0%
P2
48.3%
61.5%
P3
46.5%
46.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |