Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 48 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Bozak 53.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 76-67 in 143 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 57.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 51.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.7%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Staal
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
67
-
76
(143 meetings)
67
76
Staal
Bozak
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
29
20
Staal
Bozak
49 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
19
29
Staal
Bozak
48 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
19
27
Staal
Bozak
46 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.2%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
55.2% (1,990)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
48.0% (1,094)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Staal
Bozak
Home
52.6% (6,558)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Staal
Bozak
P1
50.0%
53.2%
P2
51.1%
52.8%
P3
50.4%
54.5%
OT
55.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 06:47 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Eric Staal |