Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.7% vs Bozak 55.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 68.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.0%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Staal
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Staal
Bozak
Last 9: Staal 2-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Staal
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Staal
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (713)
56.4% (837)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.1% (105)
60.8% (186)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
33.3% (36)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Staal is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Staal shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Staal
Bozak
Home
56.0% (414)
58.7% (516)
Away
50.0% (428)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Staal
Bozak
P1
49.0%
55.7%
P2
56.3%
53.4%
P3
53.9%
59.7%
OT
33.3%
63.2%
Final 5 min
58.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
53.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |