Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Bozak 54.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 53.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 85.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 69.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Staal
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Bozak
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
57.3% (483)
-7.7%
Power Play
49.7% (179)
57.5% (73)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
42.3% (104)
+6.5%
On power play, Bozak has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Staal shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Staal
Bozak
Home
52.0% (542)
57.8% (332)
Away
46.6% (457)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Staal
Bozak
P1
44.2%
52.7%
P2
50.3%
55.6%
P3
52.9%
56.7%
OT
68.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Eric Staal |