Scouting Report
Vincent Lecavalier holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.8% vs Lecavalier 53.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 19-14 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 59.4%
Defensive zone
Lecavalier 65.5%
Neutral zone
Lecavalier 63.4%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Staal
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
14
(33 meetings)
19
14
Staal
Lecavalier
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
5
Staal
Lecavalier
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
3
Staal
Lecavalier
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
5
6
Staal
Lecavalier
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (804)
53.4% (586)
-1.0%
Power Play
53.5% (157)
59.3% (145)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (53)
45.5% (11)
-4.0%
On power play, Lecavalier has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Staal is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Staal shoots left. Lecavalier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Staal
Lecavalier
Home
52.7% (490)
55.6% (360)
Away
51.3% (524)
53.4% (382)
By Period
Staal
Lecavalier
P1
56.4%
55.2%
P2
52.4%
57.9%
P3
47.4%
50.4%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |