Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lecavalier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.7% vs Lecavalier 50.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 54.2%
Defensive zone
Lecavalier 55.2%
Neutral zone
Lecavalier 55.7%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Staal
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Lecavalier
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
1
2
Staal
Lecavalier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
0
1
Staal
Lecavalier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Lecavalier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (713)
49.1% (489)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.1% (105)
59.3% (59)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
59.5% (37)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Lecavalier has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Staal is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Staal shoots left. Lecavalier is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Staal
Lecavalier
Home
56.0% (414)
52.4% (317)
Away
50.0% (428)
48.9% (268)
By Period
Staal
Lecavalier
P1
49.0%
54.5%
P2
56.3%
49.0%
P3
53.9%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.6%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
53.0%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |