Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Sobotka 55.8% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Sobotka leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 71.9%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 66.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.6%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Staal
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
15
(29 meetings)
14
15
Staal
Sobotka
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
4
Staal
Sobotka
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
4
5
Staal
Sobotka
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
4
6
Staal
Sobotka
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
56.9% (2,613)
-6.4%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
57.0% (223)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
50.6% (447)
-6.4%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Sobotka is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,145).
Home / Away
Staal
Sobotka
Home
52.6% (6,558)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
Staal
Sobotka
P1
50.0%
56.2%
P2
51.1%
56.3%
P3
50.4%
55.3%
OT
55.2%
61.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | OT | 01:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 21, 2011 | OT | 01:52 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |