Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.9%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Sobotka 51.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 68.3%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 78.0%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 54.1%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Staal
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Staal
Sobotka
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Sobotka
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
2
Staal
Sobotka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Sobotka
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,026)
52.9% (522)
-2.3%
Power Play
55.0% (211)
46.7% (15)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
46.1% (76)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Staal shoots left. Sobotka is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Staal
Sobotka
Home
52.4% (647)
53.8% (314)
Away
49.7% (610)
49.8% (299)
By Period
Staal
Sobotka
P1
49.4%
52.2%
P2
53.9%
52.2%
P3
49.1%
51.1%
OT
81.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | OT | 01:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Eric Staal |