Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.6%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Smith 50.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 50-46 in 96 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 67.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 65.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Staal
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
50
(96 meetings)
46
50
Staal
Smith
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
22
17
Staal
Smith
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
13
18
Staal
Smith
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
11
15
Staal
Smith
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
51.2% (342)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
45.3% (985)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Staal
Smith
Home
52.6% (6,558)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Staal
Smith
P1
50.0%
49.9%
P2
51.1%
50.0%
P3
50.4%
51.9%
OT
55.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Zack Smith |