Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Smith 48.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 58.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 57.6%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Staal
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Staal
Smith
Last 8: Staal 3-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Staal
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (930)
49.7% (485)
+1.3%
Power Play
54.4% (125)
46.8% (47)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (60)
38.6% (88)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Staal shoots left. Smith is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Staal
Smith
Home
53.5% (561)
48.7% (310)
Away
48.9% (554)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Staal
Smith
P1
50.1%
45.8%
P2
50.3%
47.4%
P3
53.1%
50.5%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |