Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Smith 49.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 81.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 61.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Staal
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Staal
Smith
Last 9: Staal 7-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,026)
50.9% (666)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.0% (211)
70.0% (10)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
39.6% (144)
-4.6%
On power play, Smith has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Staal shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Staal
Smith
Home
52.4% (647)
50.9% (405)
Away
49.7% (610)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Staal
Smith
P1
49.4%
47.1%
P2
53.9%
49.6%
P3
49.1%
50.4%
OT
81.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |