Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 49.5% vs Carter 54.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Christensen 71.9%
Defensive zone
Christensen 74.9%
Neutral zone
Christensen 74.5%
Result
Erik Christensen favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Christensen
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Christensen
Carter
Last 8: Christensen 2-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
2
1
Christensen
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Christensen
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Christensen
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (544)
56.2% (445)
-7.7%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
54.4% (114)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
37.5% (40)
-4.2%
On even strength, Carter has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Christensen is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Christensen shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Christensen
Carter
Home
53.1% (305)
55.0% (291)
Away
46.1% (334)
54.5% (314)
By Period
Christensen
Carter
P1
49.0%
57.2%
P2
51.1%
46.6%
P3
48.1%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
43.7%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |