Scouting Report
Erik Christensen holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Christensen wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 52.0% vs Carter 50.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 53.5%
Defensive zone
Christensen 51.0%
Neutral zone
Christensen 52.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Christensen
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Christensen
Carter
Last 5: Christensen 2-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Christensen
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Christensen
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (255)
51.0% (565)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
50.0% (188)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
50.0% (12)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Christensen has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Christensen is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Christensen shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Home / Away
Christensen
Carter
Home
57.8% (173)
52.3% (421)
Away
45.7% (129)
49.0% (353)
By Period
Christensen
Carter
P1
49.6%
55.4%
P2
54.2%
49.1%
P3
53.7%
47.6%
OT
75.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
52.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |