Scouting Report
Erik Christensen holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Christensen on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Christensen wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 52.0% vs Ribeiro 43.1% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Christensen 62.1%
Defensive zone
Christensen 66.5%
Neutral zone
Christensen 64.3%
Result
Erik Christensen favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Christensen
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Christensen
Ribeiro
Last 7: Christensen 4-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Christensen
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
3
2
Christensen
Ribeiro
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Christensen
1
0
Christensen
Ribeiro
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (255)
42.5% (624)
+8.1%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
42.2% (128)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
36.7% (49)
+63.3%
On penalty kill, Christensen has a +63.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Christensen is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Christensen shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (560).
Home / Away
Christensen
Ribeiro
Home
57.8% (173)
44.3% (395)
Away
45.7% (129)
40.2% (413)
By Period
Christensen
Ribeiro
P1
49.6%
36.5%
P2
54.2%
43.8%
P3
53.7%
45.6%
OT
75.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.6%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 4, 2012 | OT | 01:55 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |