Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.2%). Look for Pelley on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 50.4% vs Pelley 51.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Christensen 76.1%
Defensive zone
Pelley 56.7%
Neutral zone
Christensen 53.8%
Result
Erik Christensen favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Christensen
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Christensen
Pelley
Last 7: Christensen 1-6 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Christensen
Pelley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
2
Christensen
Pelley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
3
Christensen
Pelley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (799)
51.4% (440)
-2.2%
Power Play
55.9% (127)
25.0% (8)
+30.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
50.8% (118)
+15.9%
On power play, Christensen has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Christensen is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Christensen shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Christensen
Pelley
Home
54.8% (478)
52.9% (221)
Away
46.0% (463)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Christensen
Pelley
P1
49.2%
50.8%
P2
52.2%
49.3%
P3
49.5%
53.8%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 14:13 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 24, 2010 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 24, 2010 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |