Erik Christensen vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Christensen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 50.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 75.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 64.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Christensen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Christensen
O'Reilly
Last 9: Christensen 5-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
3
1
Christensen
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Christensen
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Christensen
1
0
Christensen
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (799)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.0%
Power Play
55.9% (127)
58.8% (3,445)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
51.4% (2,811)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Christensen has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Christensen is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Christensen shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Christensen
O'Reilly
Home
54.8% (478)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
46.0% (463)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Christensen
O'Reilly
P1
49.2%
55.6%
P2
52.2%
57.0%
P3
49.5%
55.1%
OT
62.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
46.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |