Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Christensen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 50.4% vs Koivu 51.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Christensen 58.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 83.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 57.5%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Christensen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Christensen
Koivu
Last 7: Christensen 6-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
3
0
Christensen
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Christensen
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Christensen
3
0
Christensen
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (799)
51.9% (3,221)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.9% (127)
59.3% (437)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
48.0% (764)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Christensen has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Christensen is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Christensen shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Christensen
Koivu
Home
54.8% (478)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
46.0% (463)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Christensen
Koivu
P1
49.2%
51.1%
P2
52.2%
52.6%
P3
49.5%
51.8%
OT
62.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 12:36 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |