Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Christensen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 50.4% vs Ott 55.4% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Christensen 55.1%
Defensive zone
Ott 85.0%
Neutral zone
Ott 61.5%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Christensen
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Christensen
Ott
Last 5: Christensen 3-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
1
0
Christensen
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
2
1
Christensen
Ott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Christensen
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (799)
57.2% (2,802)
-8.0%
Power Play
55.9% (127)
55.4% (567)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
49.9% (853)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Christensen has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Christensen is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Christensen shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Christensen
Ott
Home
54.8% (478)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
46.0% (463)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Christensen
Ott
P1
49.2%
56.7%
P2
52.2%
53.9%
P3
49.5%
55.7%
OT
62.5%
60.8%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Steve Ott |