Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.0% vs 36.1%). Cole wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cole 40.4% vs Hughes 36.6% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 63.4%
Defensive zone
Cole 54.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Cole
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cole
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (120)
36.0% (2,887)
-1.0%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
38.8% (224)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (14)
31.0% (42)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cole is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Cole shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Cole
Hughes
Home
37.4% (115)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
34.3% (99)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Cole
Hughes
P1
40.8%
36.9%
P2
35.6%
33.6%
P3
29.5%
38.1%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
32.2%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cole
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%