Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Cole wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cole 40.4% vs Bailey 45.5% (-9.3%)
Offensive zone
Cole 56.2%
Defensive zone
Bailey 63.7%
Neutral zone
Cole 55.0%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Cole
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cole
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (120)
45.8% (1,991)
-10.8%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
48.1% (295)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (14)
39.9% (281)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Cole is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Cole shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Cole
Bailey
Home
37.4% (115)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
34.3% (99)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Cole
Bailey
P1
40.8%
46.5%
P2
35.6%
44.8%
P3
29.5%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
32.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cole
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.0%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%