Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Haula 54.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 65.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 75.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 57.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Barkov
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Barkov
Haula
Last 6: Barkov 2-4 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
Barkov
Haula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Haula
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
57.6% (684)
-0.7%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
46.0% (63)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
45.5% (145)
-0.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Barkov
Haula
Home
57.4% (540)
56.3% (449)
Away
57.1% (560)
53.3% (443)
By Period
Barkov
Haula
P1
57.6%
58.4%
P2
56.6%
54.9%
P3
56.9%
52.0%
OT
72.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Erik Haula |