Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Ward 48.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 52.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 51.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Haula
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Haula
Ward
Last 8: Haula 4-4 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Haula
Ward
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Haula
Ward
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Ward
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
51.3% (1,186)
+1.6%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
53.4% (238)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
35.5% (366)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Haula
Ward
Home
53.4% (4,478)
50.3% (870)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Haula
Ward
P1
53.2%
47.6%
P2
51.4%
47.5%
P3
52.7%
50.3%
OT
43.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 03:03 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 02:01 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Erik Haula |