Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 73.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 70.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 61.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Haula
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Haula
Stenlund
Last 8: Haula 4-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
3
Haula
Stenlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
56.1% (615)
-6.1%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
53.2% (47)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
52.1% (307)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Haula is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Haula shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Haula
Stenlund
Home
48.6% (426)
57.0% (458)
Away
51.6% (411)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Haula
Stenlund
P1
52.2%
55.1%
P2
51.5%
53.3%
P3
46.7%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Erik Haula |