Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Joseph on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Joseph shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.2% vs Joseph 43.9% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 50.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 86.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 68.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Haula
Joseph
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Haula
Joseph
Last 7: Haula 4-3 Joseph
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joseph
1
2
Haula
Joseph
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Joseph
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Joseph
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (388)
38.9% (108)
+17.8%
Power Play
59.6% (47)
50.0% (2)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (55)
0.0% (2)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Haula is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Haula shoots left. Joseph is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Haula
Joseph
Home
57.6% (210)
38.0% (50)
Away
53.2% (280)
38.7% (62)
By Period
Haula
Joseph
P1
55.5%
38.5%
P2
54.8%
25.6%
P3
55.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.1%
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Mathieu Joseph |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Mathieu Joseph |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Mathieu Joseph |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Erik Haula |