Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Haula wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.4% vs Kesler 55.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 62.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 60.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 61.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Haula
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Haula
Kesler
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
6
2
Haula
Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
9
Haula
Kesler
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
2
Haula
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,495)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.5%
Power Play
57.8% (587)
60.7% (1,437)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (771)
50.5% (1,908)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Haula is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,210).
Haula shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Haula
Kesler
Home
53.6% (4,373)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
51.3% (4,480)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Haula
Kesler
P1
53.2%
56.5%
P2
51.4%
55.9%
P3
53.1%
56.1%
OT
44.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |