Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Haula wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Kesler 57.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 67.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 63.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 66.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Haula
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Haula
Kesler
Last 8: Haula 2-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
6
Haula
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (684)
57.6% (1,225)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
63.5% (263)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
51.5% (305)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Haula is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Haula shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Haula
Kesler
Home
55.2% (355)
59.1% (881)
Away
52.7% (395)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Haula
Kesler
P1
53.2%
56.6%
P2
54.7%
58.2%
P3
54.4%
57.5%
OT
20.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
55.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |