Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Gagner 48.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 83.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 62.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 54.8%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Haula
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Haula
Gagner
Last 5: Haula 2-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Haula
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (684)
46.5% (310)
+8.5%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
50.4% (115)
+2.5%
On even strength, Haula has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Haula is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Haula shoots left. Gagner is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Haula
Gagner
Home
55.2% (355)
52.4% (212)
Away
52.7% (395)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Haula
Gagner
P1
53.2%
46.2%
P2
54.7%
52.2%
P3
54.4%
43.6%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |