Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 60.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 62.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 61.8%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Haula
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Haula
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Haula
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Haula
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
53.2% (823)
-3.2%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
55.3% (159)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
48.4% (95)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Haula shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Haula
Monahan
Home
48.6% (426)
54.6% (529)
Away
51.6% (411)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Haula
Monahan
P1
52.2%
49.0%
P2
51.5%
55.4%
P3
46.7%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |