Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wheeler wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.8% vs Rodrigues 44.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 87.1%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 71.4%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 74.9%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Wheeler
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Wheeler
Rodrigues
Last 5: Wheeler 5-0 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Rodrigues
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
4
0
Wheeler
Rodrigues
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (294)
41.4% (338)
+6.9%
Power Play
34.0% (50)
53.8% (26)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
50.0% (4)
-11.1%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Wheeler is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Wheeler shoots right. Rodrigues is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Rodrigues
Home
50.8% (183)
40.9% (159)
Away
40.8% (179)
43.5% (209)
By Period
Wheeler
Rodrigues
P1
44.1%
47.8%
P2
48.7%
37.6%
P3
45.2%
42.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |